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Bankroll & Staking Pillar

The difference between a gambler and a professional is not who they pick, but how they stake.

The Golden Rule

Even the most accurate football predictions in the world can lead to bankruptcy without a plan. Bankroll Management (BRM) is the protective shield that ensures you stay in the game long enough for your edge to play out.

What is a "Bankroll"?

Your bankroll is a dedicated sum of money used exclusively for betting. It should be money you can afford to lose. Treating your bankroll like a business capital fund is the first step toward long-term success.

The Concept of "Units"

Professional bettors never think in currency; they think in Units. A unit is a percentage of your total bankroll.

Standard Unit Calculation:
If your Bankroll is $1,000 and your unit size is 1%, your 1-Unit bet is $10.

Why? This allows your bet sizes to scale up as you win and scale down as you lose, protecting you from "going bust."

Popular Staking Plans

1. Flat Staking (Recommended for Beginners)

You bet exactly the same amount (e.g., 1 unit) on every game, regardless of your confidence. This is the safest way to manage variance and build a statistical history of your performance.

2. Variable Staking (1-5 Units)

You adjust your stake based on the perceived value:

  • 1 Unit: Long shot / Speculative (e.g., a high-odds draw).
  • 3 Units: Standard confidence (AmazingStakes high-probability match).
  • 5 Units: Max play (Rare, high-conviction "Value" bet).

3. The Kelly Criterion

A mathematical formula that determines the optimal bet size based on your perceived edge over the bookmaker. It is high-reward but requires very accurate probability estimates.

Handling Losing Streaks (Downswings)

Statistically, if you place 1,000 bets, you will eventually hit a streak of 8 or 10 losses in a row. This is not a failure of the system; it is "Variance."

The "Chasing" Trap: The most common mistake is increasing your bet size after a loss to "get even." This is a mathematical shortcut to a zero balance. Stick to your units.

The AmazingStakes Discipline

We provide the data, but you provide the discipline. We recommend starting with a 1% to 2% unit size. This gives you a buffer of 50-100 bets, making it virtually impossible to lose your entire bankroll during a normal run of variance.

Test Your Strategy
Use our latest match analysis to find your next 1-unit or 2-unit plays.